Padres Game Recap – May 7, 2015

Baseball 08 May 2015
Padres Game Recap – May 7, 2015

sd-logoWhat can be said after a night like tonight for the Padres? Sometimes you eat the bear, and sometimes the bear eats you. Tonight the Friars were completely devoured 11-0. To add insult to injury, or injury to insult in this case, Yonder Alonso had to remove himself from the game after jamming his throwing shoulder (yes the same one that was recently injured after being hit by a pitch on Sunday causing him to miss two games) on a diving play in the 8th.   The Padres hope to know more about the severity of the injury tomorrow.

Ineffective starting pitching was the culprit tonight. Despaigne simply had very little in his arsenal to go to and the D’Backs took advantage. Unlike last year when he relied almost exclusively on his breaking stuff to keep opposing batters off balance, his early success this season has been thanks to aggressive use and better command of his fastball. The different arm angles have still been a useful element of his deception, but the increased fastball usage has both caught hitters generally off guard, and given him more margin for error when the off speed is used.

Quite simply, tonight the fastball command was not there. Too many offerings that were intended to be down and away ended up out over the dish and in to the danger zone. Before the Pads could blink it was 4-0, and 6-0 by the end of the 3rd.

With that kind of a lead, all AZ starter, De La Rosa, needed to do was throw strikes and for the most part he did.   95-96 MPH fastballs were complimented with sliders and hard downward diving changeups. Runners were in scoring position in three of the first four innings for the Pads, but served only as a tease to get back into the game as all were stranded. After the fourth inning it turned into a lock down as the last 16 Friar batters were retired in order.

With the recent troubles the team has experienced lately I’m frequently asked to try to explain what’s going on. Yes, the team has lost 10 of their last 15 games. Yes, the shutouts they’ve suffered in their last three loses are unexpected. Yes, the bullpen has been surprisingly porous at times. Yes, the starting rotation has not been as dominant as anticipated. Yes, the defense has given away 16 unearned runs (tied for second most in the N.L.). Yes…all this is true. However, let’s look at it all from another angle.

  • The offense: Even after being shutout in 3 of the last 4 games, it still leads the entire N.L. in runs scored. Is this a dramatic turnaround from last year? You bet! Like any offense there will be ebbs and flows in production, but it has already proven that it can be potent when it counts with the second best avg. in the N.L. with runners in scoring position.  Still haven’t all hit their stride, and yet leading the N.L. in runs – not too bad.
  • The bullpen: No question it has had moments of struggles. However, the team is still 9-1 in games it has lead after the 6th inning, and if you take away the disastrous 3 game series against the Astros where they allowed 19 earned runs in 3 games the ‘pen ERA is 2.95 for the remainder of the season.
  • The rotation: Expectations for the starting 5 are understandably high. The 3.51 ERA currently ranks 5th in the N.L. Even with not all five hitting their full stride yet they still have more quality starts (20), than any other rotation in MLB.
  • The defense: Of the 22 errors committed 4 have been by pitchers, and alonso made a couple of uncharacteristic rush errors. Norris has been surprisingly better at throwing out runners than anyone expected. Point is although it has been undeniably costly, and no one expects the defense to be a team strength overall, there is reason to believe that the errors should be reduced by some of the early transgressors, and Norris has been much better with the running game than anticipated.
  • 15-15 record: The team despite not hitting on all cylinders yet is still playing .500 ball, only 4 back of the Dodgers. There are a lot of good things happening with this team as it works to find itself.  We knew there was going to be an adjustment period while all these new players learn how to play together as a team. There will be periods where the pitching doesn’t support the hitting and vice versa while this new group jells. It’s part of the process, as painful as it may be during some stretches.

No one is satisfied with the team playing .500 ball. Everyone involved with this club knows this group is capable of doing more, and anticipates that they eventually will. As a former player, when a team I was a part of was playing below its capability all I wanted us to do was to stay close to the leaders until things turned around. Just stay within striking distance until the storm passed. The Pads are doing that so far, and surviving this rough period while still staying close. Then when things turn around, look out!

Hopefully the fellas start to kick it in as a unit starting tomorrow with James Shields on the mound. First pitch is at 6:40. Look forward to you joining Uncle Teddy and me for the call on the Mighty 1090.

Scan

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25 Comments

  1. Chris Clark via Facebook
    May 8, 2015 at 12:01 pm

    Scan….I think you’re missing the big point, O-wise…. who cares if we lead the NL in runs… if we scored all of those runs in a tiny handful of games. We can beat a team 33-0, and then lose the next 12 by shutout… still be in the lead in runs, and be dead last in the standings. The O does NOT MATTER unless it’s CONSISTENT. As for the rest of your blog… I concur.


  2. Mike Smith
    May 8, 2015 at 11:46 am

    Bob,

    The team’s AVG w/ runners in scoring position is a giant red flag that this offense isn’t as good as we think, it doesn’t validate like you claim.

    We have 100 years of data that tell us that you aren’t clutch or not clutch but you are what you are. Meaning that as teams or players accumulate enough ABs, their AVG with RISP and Bases Empty will settle somewhere very close to their overall AVG.

    Case in point, look at the overall MLB stats for the last three full seasons:

    2014: Overall .255, Bases Empty .249, RISP .254
    2013: Overall .253, Bases Empty .249, RISP .255
    2012: Overall .251, Bases Empty .245, RISP .253

    Now, let’s look at the 2015 SD Padres:

    Overall .251, Bases Empty .214, RISP .303

    Making it pretty obvious that this offense is going to get worse before it gets better.

    What’s missing in the your analysis is that this offense is destined to many bad nights against mediocre right handed pitching. It was built to be exactly that.

    Ross and Cashner have extreme home/road splits as Padres. They are the pitching version of Dante Bichette. It’s hard to take them seriously until they are able to pitch well outside of Petco and in Cashner’s case he has done nothing to make us think he’ll throw 200 innings.


  3. Rich Metteer via Facebook
    May 8, 2015 at 10:04 am

    Awesome blog report as always. Thanks Scan!


  4. Tony Disarufino via Facebook
    May 8, 2015 at 9:46 am

    Great analysis, Scan. Honestly, if the Pads can stay at or around .500 until the break, we will be fine. Historically play better ball in second half anyways. For people calling to fire Bud, can we please just shut that up until the break? If we are 5 games below at break, go ahead and start then. It’s just discouraging and honestly kind of annoying to see the FIRE BLACKEYE comments every single night.

    Also, your radio work is great!


  5. David Willis via Facebook
    May 8, 2015 at 9:00 am

    Let’s get thru May, hopefully June will be kinder to us..


  6. Brian DiGiovanni via Facebook
    May 8, 2015 at 8:30 am

    Thanks for the positive spin Scan, long way to go here. So far the Padres have not been very consistent with good play & our guys are still right in the middle of the race (or marathon run) to the playoffs. Cheers to getting on track, playing consistently good. Go Padres!


  7. Brian DiGiovanni via Facebook
    May 8, 2015 at 8:30 am

    Thanks for the positive spin Scan, long way to go here. So far the Padres have not been very consistent with good play & our guys are still right in the middle of the race (or marathon run) to the playoffs. Cheers to getting on track, playing consistently good. Go Padres!


  8. Matt Ribner via Facebook
    May 8, 2015 at 8:25 am

    They are better than this, which is why buddy should be fired. He’s already had 9 lives!


  9. Matt Ribner via Facebook
    May 8, 2015 at 8:25 am

    They are better than this, which is why buddy should be fired. He’s already had 9 lives!


  10. Michelle Frost via Facebook
    May 8, 2015 at 8:21 am

    Enjoyed your analysis, and, as Donna said, your calming perspective. Myself as a fan, I’m going to ride out the storm too because I know this team is better than a .500 ballclub. Fortunately, the Dodgers and others in our divisions aren’t clicking on all cylinders either. As long as we can stay close, we’ll be okay, assuming we’re the team that figures it out first.


  11. Michelle Frost via Facebook
    May 8, 2015 at 8:21 am

    Enjoyed your analysis, and, as Donna said, your calming perspective. Myself as a fan, I’m going to ride out the storm too because I know this team is better than a .500 ballclub. Fortunately, the Dodgers and others in our divisions aren’t clicking on all cylinders either. As long as we can stay close, we’ll be okay, assuming we’re the team that figures it out first.


  12. Andy Man via Facebook
    May 8, 2015 at 8:14 am

    I feel bad for Alonso the kid was having a good year & so happy & this happens. I don’t even think he should of been playing in the 8th on a 11-0 game he should of been taken out earlier. I just hope his injury ain’t serious we need his bat & especially glove at first base. I’m assuming they call up Medica.


  13. Andy Man via Facebook
    May 8, 2015 at 8:14 am

    I feel bad for Alonso the kid was having a good year & so happy & this happens. I don’t even think he should of been playing in the 8th on a 11-0 game he should of been taken out earlier. I just hope his injury ain’t serious we need his bat & especially glove at first base. I’m assuming they call up Medica.


  14. Nick
    May 8, 2015 at 7:45 am

    Hey Scan,

    I am absolutely loving this blog. Thanks so much for taking the time to do it. I look forward to these posts more than any postgame write-up. Loving your work on air too. We are lucky to have you.

    -nick


    • Bob Scanlan
      May 8, 2015 at 8:49 am

      Thanks Nick! Really appreciate you checking them out, and thanks for your kind words. Will try to keep ’em coming throughout the season.


  15. Matt
    May 8, 2015 at 7:30 am

    Besides $$ why are there at least a half dozen former Padres in the rotation with other clubs ??


    • Bob Scanlan
      May 8, 2015 at 8:50 am

      Sorry, but I don’t understand your question. Why are there former Padres starting pitchers in other team’s rotations? Is that the question?


  16. Matt
    May 8, 2015 at 7:27 am

    I’ll call Uncle on that one P U


  17. Saundra Sassie via Facebook
    May 8, 2015 at 7:24 am

    Hopefully they will be able to come back strong tonight


  18. Michael Pratschner via Facebook
    May 8, 2015 at 7:10 am

    Hey Scan, your said they should “stay close to the leaders” . Who are the leaders? That’s one of the things I’ve been wondering about a team assembled so quickly like this one.


  19. Christina Perry via Facebook
    May 8, 2015 at 6:51 am

    That picture is horrible, poor Alonso! Thanks for the needed pep talk. I can’t wait till the guys start jelling more. GO PADRES!


  20. Ken Ehlers via Facebook
    May 8, 2015 at 6:21 am

    Nice positive piece on a horrible night and recent play. I think you are right the boys are better then this.


  21. Ron Friedman via Facebook
    May 8, 2015 at 6:14 am

    Hey scan, I was at the game last nite, I think that Meyers take the wrong route and does not get a good jump on the ball, try kemp in cf, it will tighten the defense


  22. Donna Kozik via Facebook
    May 8, 2015 at 6:11 am

    Great calming perspective — thanks!


  23. Zak Darman via Facebook
    May 8, 2015 at 2:13 am

    Hopefully the injury to Alonso isn’t serious. He’s starting to come around and this would hurt this team big time. Nice job on the radio tonight too, Bob